Competition among countries will increase in the coming year as major powers and regional aggressors exploit complex global trends while adjusting to new priorities in US foreign policy. The risk of interstate conflict, including among great powers, is higher than at any time since the end of the Cold War. The most immediate threats of regional interstate conflict in the next year come from North Korea and from Saudi- Iranian use of proxies in their rivalry. At the same time, the threat of state and nonstate use of weapons of mass destruction will continue to grow. Tension within many countries will rise, and the threat from Sunni violent extremist groups will evolve as they recoup after battlefield losses in the Middle East.

"February 13, 2018."

Introduction. -- Contents. -- Foreword. -- Global threats. -- Cyber threats. -- Weapons of mass destruction and proliferation. -- Terrorism. -- Counterintelligence and foreign denial and deception. -- Emerging and disruptive technology. -- Technology acquisitions and strategic economic competition. -- Space and counterspace. -- Transnational organized crime. -- Economics and energy. -- Human security. -- Regional threats. -- East Asia. -- Middle East and North Africa. -- Russia and Eurasia. -- Africa. -- The Western Hemisphere.