Prachanda Path and Oglaigh na hEireann: a comparative case study of the insurgencies in Nepal and Northern Ireland.
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Prachanda Path and Oglaigh na hEireann: a comparative case study of the insurgencies in Nepal and Northern Ireland.
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Wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, and the Global War on Terrorism have raised the interest of the United States Government in insurgencies and counterinsurgencies. There are many different types and classifications of insurgencies. Two major types are leftist, Maoist style insurgencies and right-wing, nationalist/religious style insurgencies. As the right-wing, nationalist/religious style insurgencies continue to grow and gain momentum, the question becomes, "Are right-wing, nationalist/religious style insurgencies better structured and equipped to succeed than the leftist style insurgencies?" In order to answer this question, this monograph will analyze the structure, tactical levels of discipline, operational focus, and insurgent strategies of two modern insurgencies, each representing a right-wing, nationalist/religious style or left-wing, Maoist style movement: the Irish Republican Movement in Northern Ireland and the Maoist Rebels in Nepal. The Communist Party of Nepal (Maoist) (CPN(M)) initiated its insurgency in 1996, when it started a "people's war," against the government of Nepal. The CPN(M)'s main goals was to establish a communist government in Nepal, remove the monarchial system, and remove the caste system from the country. The CPN(M) is an egalitarian type of insurgency that uses Mao Tse-Tung's Protracted People's War strategy. However, they have modified the strategy over the past few years to incorporate urban terrorist operations. This new strategy is called the Prachanda Path, named after the leader of the CPN(M)--Prachanda. The insurgents are organized around three groups: a political party, a military wing, and other groups (called the United Front). They rely on criminal activity and their diaspora for financing their operations. Operationally, they conduct activities from geographical base areas, have a well-educated leadership, poor logistics, and use both passive and coercive recruitment techniques. At the tactical level, the CPN(M) conduct full spectrum operations and limited terror operations. The Provincial Irish Republican Army (PIRA) (Oglaigh na hEireann in Gaelic) started in 1969 when it split from the Official Irish Republican Army. Their initial goals were to protect the Catholic minority in Northern Ireland, force the British to leave Northern Ireland, and unite Northern Ireland with the Republic of Ireland as one country. They are a secessionist insurgency that uses an urban insurgent strategy. They conduct terrorism in Northern Ireland and abroad to try to force the government of the United Kingdom to the negotiating table. Their structure consists of an Army Council, Chief of Staff, General Headquarters, Northern and Southern Commands, Active Service Units (ASUs), and a political party--Sinn Fein. Operationally, since the 1980s, they have conducted both military and political actions ("Armalite and the Ballot Box" strategy) to achieve their goals. They have experienced, if not well educated, leadership that rose through the ranks. They use self-recruitment to maintain small, highly-motivated units. Logistically, they use criminal activity, a large diaspora (especially in the United States), and, at one time, the country of Libya for support. At the tactical level, they utilize primarily terror tactics and guerrilla operations (Improvised Explosive Devices (IEDs), mortars, sniping, etc.). In conclusion, the comparison of these two cases suggests that even in the twenty-first century, leftist, Maoist style insurgencies are better structured, disciplined, and equipped to achieve their goals than right-wing, nationalist/religious style insurgencies. Despite the fact that the appeal of communism is fading, one can argue that the Protracted People's War structure is well designed to run simultaneous political and military lines of operation. Even though it is not a "cookie-cutter" solution for every insurgent, with modifications it still offers the best chance of success.
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