This report provides NASA's Office of Strategy and Plans with a risk assessment methodology that integrates risk factors and risk management approaches tailored to NASA's management, operations, and acquisition structures. While NASA has deep experience in conducting risk assessments on highly technical issues for individual programs and projects, it has not developed an overarching methodology for thinking about overall NASA-level risk associated with its decisions. For this effort, a methodology was developed for normalizing and comparing supply chain, external dependency, cost and schedule, human capital, organizational and managerial, political, and technical risks. The goal ultimately was to develop a single, overarching, risk-informed decision support methodology for looking at disparate risks through a common lens. Publisher's description.

"Prepared for the National Aeronautics and Space Administration."

ch. 1. Introduction : Overview and Study Terms of Reference -- Study Approach -- Organization of This Report ; ch. 2. Risk Assessment and Risk-Informed Decisionmaking Methods : Risk Definition -- Risk Assessment Methods -- Risk-Informed Decisionmaking ; ch. 3. Definition and Discussion of the Risk Factors and Components : Supply-Chain Risks -- Cost and Schedule Risks -- Human Capital Risks -- Organizational and Managerial Risks -- External Dependency Risks -- Political Risks -- Technical Risks -- Additional Considerations ; ch. 4. Development of the Risk-Informed Decision Methodology : Developing the Methodology -- The Normalization Process -- Interpreting the Results -- Methodology Caveats -- Step-by-Step Summary of the Risk-Informed Decision Methodology -- Conclusions ; ch. 5. Case Studies : Employing the Methodology -- Important Caveat on Methodology Validation -- Cancellation of the Space Shuttle Program and Commercialization of Transport to the ISS -- Cislunar Habitat -- Thoughts on the Case Studies ; ch. 6. Findings and Conclusions : Accomplishments -- Thoughts on the Methodology -- Way Forward ; APPENDIXES : A. List of Potential Cases for Consideration -- B. Cancellation of the Space Shuttle Program and Commercialization of Transport to the ISS Case Study -- C. Cislunar Habitat Case Study -- D. Human Capital Risk Methodology ; References.